MATH301 INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILITY THEORY

Course Code:2360301
METU Credit (Theoretical-Laboratory hours/week):3 (3.00 - 0.00)
ECTS Credit:6.0
Department:Mathematics
Language of Instruction:English
Level of Study:Undergraduate
Course Coordinator:Lecturer MUHAMMAD DABBAGH
Offered Semester:Fall Semesters.

Course Objectives

This course is a calculus based introductory course on probability theory. The
emphasis is on the main concepts, calculations and applications, rather than the
measure theoretical foundations. Therefore, measure theoretical issues are only
mentioned in passing. Sketches of the main theorems such as the law of large numbers
and the central limit theorem are given, assuming preparatory results from analysis
without proof. The course provides students with essential basic knowledge in
probability theory, hence preparing them for various real-world applications or more
advanced courses.


Course Content

Events and probability. Combinatorial problems. Independence and conditional probability. Measure theoretical approach to probability. Random variables and distribution functions. Marginal distributions and conditional distributions. Moments and characteristic functions. Convergence of random variables. Law of large numbers.


Course Learning Outcomes

At the end of the course, students are expected to:

  • understand main definitions of probability theory at a working level,
  • learn how to compute expectations, variance and higher moments,
  • calculate marginal distributions from joint distributions,
  • apply normal and Poisson approximation in real life situations,
  • make deductions by using the Law of Large Numbers and Central Limit Theorem

Program Outcomes Matrix

Level of Contribution
#Program Outcomes0123
1Acquires mathematical thinking skills (problem solving, generating ways of thinking, forming correspondence, generalizing etc.) and can use them in related fields.
2Can produce innovative thoughts and products.
3Can design mathematics related problems, devise solution methods and apply them when appropriate.
4Has a comprehension of mathematical symbols, concepts together with the interactions among them and can express his/her solutions similarly.
5Has a command of Turkish and English languages so that he/she can actively communicate (read, write, listen and speak).
6Contributes to solving global, environmental and social problems either individually or as being part of a social group.
7Respects ethical values and rules; applies them in professional and social issues.
8Can work cooperatively in a team and also individually.
9Is responsive to life-long learning, improving his/her skills and abilities
10Comprehends necessity of knowledge, can define it and acquires it; uses knowledge effectively and shares it with others

0: No Contribution 1: Little Contribution 2: Partial Contribution 3: Full Contribution