ECON453 BUSINESS FORECASTING
| Course Code: | 3110453 |
| METU Credit (Theoretical-Laboratory hours/week): | 3 (3.00 - 0.00) |
| ECTS Credit: | 6.0 |
| Department: | Economics |
| Language of Instruction: | English |
| Level of Study: | Undergraduate |
| Course Coordinator: | Prof.Dr. NAZIM KADRİ EKİNCİ |
| Offered Semester: | Fall Semesters. |
Course Objectives
The course starts with a review of fundamental time series concepts. Forecasting techniques based on classical time series methods are provided. A through discussion of ARMA and ARIMA modelling will follow. The bulk of the course will be on forecasting based on these models as well as exponential smoothing and related techniques. All methods will be implemented in the R programming environment.
Course Content
Various forecasting methods are introduced with emphasis on their applications for social and economic planning. The core of the course is the use of models in forecasting future sales, capital, investment, new product development etc.
Course Learning Outcomes
Program Outcomes Matrix
| Level of Contribution | |||||
| # | Program Outcomes | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Use and develop skillfully economic concepts and theories, analyse economic behaviour and events by conceptualizing and evaluating via scientific methods (Has skills regarding theory and analysis) | ✔ | |||
| 2 | Evaluate how economic policies affect economic performance and how economic interest, relationship and interaction affect policy decisions (Knowledgeable about economic policies) | ✔ | |||
| 3 | Design and carry out studies regarding data collection, analysis and evaluation, that can be used in decision processes at every level (individual, firm, government, etc.)(Knowledgeable about quantitative and qualitative methods) | ✔ | |||
| 4 | Evaluate systematically and compare economic knowledge, phenomena and methodology; Develop critical, creative/innovative approaches to these (Critical, creative, innovative) | ✔ | |||
| 5 | Understand current economic phenomena and relevant political developments using information and data from various resources and provide multifaceted explanations (Concerned about current events) | ✔ | |||
| 6 | Follow developments in economic theory and methods; Be open to continuous learning (Open to continuous learning) | ✔ | |||
| 7 | Have skills to work independently and in a team (Individual and teamwork) | ✔ | |||
| 8 | Approach critically to economic and societal events and problems while being sensitive to social problems; Produce solutions to these problems by scientific approach; Share own thoughts (Sensitive to social problems) | ✔ | |||
| 9 | Communicate clearly, effectively and fluently (in English and Turkish) verbally and in writing, utilizing new technologies (Has effective communication skills) | ✔ | |||
0: No Contribution 1: Little Contribution 2: Partial Contribution 3: Full Contribution