BA4511 BUSINESS FORECASTING

Course Code:3124511
METU Credit (Theoretical-Laboratory hours/week):3 (3.00 - 0.00)
ECTS Credit:6.0
Department:Business Administration
Language of Instruction:English
Level of Study:Undergraduate
Course Coordinator:Prof.Dr. RAMAZAN SARI
Offered Semester:Fall Semesters.

Course Objectives


Course Content

Introduction to quantitative and subjective forecasting methods. Evaluating forecast accuracy. Smoothing methods: Simple, Holt`s and Winters` exponential smoothing techniques. Forecasting with Regression Methods: Forecasting with simple linear trend, using casual regression models, and forecasting with Multiple regression models. Time-series Decomposition models. Finding seasonal indexes, the long-term trend, and measuring cyclical component. Box-Jenkins (ARIMA) forecasting models. Introduction to simulation usage in forecasting. Combining Forecast results and Forecast Implementation.


Course Learning Outcomes


Program Outcomes Matrix

Level of Contribution
#Program Outcomes0123
1They attain advanced level of knowledge in the functional areas of business administration such as strategic management, marketing, accounting, finance, organization management, human resources, and operations management.
2They are capable of identifying and analyzing legal, environmental and social factors, which influence the basic functional areas of the business administration.
3They understand and implement rational, systematic and scientific approaches effectively in problem solving and decision-making processes.
4They are capable of applying, analyzing, synthesizing and evaluating the knowledge they have in diverse fields efficiently
5They are capable of transferring information by using efficient verbal and written communication techniques.
6They are capable of performing professional communication effectively also in English.
7They know the methods of performing efficient teamwork.
8They are capable of following the contemporary techniques, scientific and technological developments in their fields and are able to conduct research and studies in order to develop their business administration related knowledge, skills, and competences.
9They are knowledgeable in the areas of professional ethics and responsibility.
10They are capable of utilizing their knowledge and skills efficiently in global and multicultural contexts.
11They are knowledgeable in the issues of environment, social responsibility, social justice, quality and cultural values
12They have a creative, innovative and critical perspective.

0: No Contribution 1: Little Contribution 2: Partial Contribution 3: Full Contribution